As the Timberwolves prepare for Game 2 against Denver on Monday evening, a consensus has formed among professional betting models and analysts: Anthony EdwardsPlayer·Anthony Edwards is undervalued in the prop markets.
Edwards' 2025-26 regular season numbers provide the foundation for this conviction. The 24-year-old guard averaged 28.8 points per game, 5.0 rebounds, 3.7 assists, and 3.4 made 3-pointers on 39.9% shooting. Those figures sit comfortably above several of his Game 2 prop lines, particularly his over 2.5 made 3-pointers, where multiple sportsbooks are offering odds between -136 and -168.
In Game 1 on April 18, Edwards managed 15.7 points on 5.2-of-11.5 shooting and 2.2-of-5.7 from three, falling short of the 2.5 three-pointer threshold. But analysts expect a correction. Edwards' playoff history shows an average of 3.1 made 3-pointers on over eight attempts per game, suggesting Game 1 was an outlier rather than a trend.
The matchup dynamics favor Edwards' perimeter game. While Denver ranked third in opponent three-point percentage during the regular season, the Nuggets allowed 13.6 opponent three-pointers per game—18th in the NBA. That defensive vulnerability, combined with Edwards' elite usage rate and high-stakes shooting efficiency, has created what models view as a profitable edge.
Betting records from professional analysts tracking the 2025-26 season underscore their confidence in Edwards props. One model posted a 253-215 record (-2.59 units), while another went 250-208 (+1.83 units), with consistent recommendations to back Edwards' three-pointer overs.
Edwards remains listed as questionable for Game 2 due to injury management, though he played through the same designation in Game 1. His 2025-26 season averages—particularly his 28.8 points per game—suggest that when healthy, he delivers well above the prop lines currently available.
Anthony Edwards reacts during a Timberwolves vs. Warriors game. Photo: Anadolu Agency/IMAGO
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